TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof DRX, DN Freecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fbe…7d07backed DN Freecs0c180,066$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba6…ec7cbacked DN Freecs0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed DN Freecs1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.772844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed DRX53c5,026$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.1426246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed DN Freecs53c3,777$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.781,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed DRX53c3,773$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.1218945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed DN Freecs29c3,770$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed DN Freecs48c3,600$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.9943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed DN Freecs51c2,971$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.2310761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x395f…dcacbacked DN Freecs1c2,222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026245.8%120 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked DRX48c2,218$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.4521740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05b…04f1backed DN Freecs19c2,134$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.35520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed DN Freecs20c2,100$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.3494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed DRX63c1,938$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.5731644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed DRX47c1,807$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.621,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed DN Freecs23c1,778$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4575342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed DN Freecs1c1,580$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.89016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs49c1,420$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.762,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DRX56c1,350$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.51,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed DN Freecs33c1,250$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.550643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs50c1,058$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.693,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed DRX48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6764553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked DRX46c1,021$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked DRX49c1,015$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.651160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed DN Freecs46c1,000$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.7720438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3806…f4c4backed DN Freecs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101276.3%8 W · 119 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked DN Freecs48c950.33$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3313345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed DRX48c950$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49450547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN Freecs54c862$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.481,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked DRX47c844.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0695847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed DRX47c815.19$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.4921448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DN Freecs33c809.29$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.092,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DRX46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed DN Freecs26c765.51$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0340435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DRX51c755.54$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked DN Freecs43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed DRX65c624.09$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21952650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed DN Freecs53c569.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed DN Freecs53c540$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.21,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed DN Freecs50c516$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25869041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed DN Freecs54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27040347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DN Freecs46c445$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.761,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed DRX49c411.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4474344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed DN Freecs53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21218744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed DN Freecs50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed DRX70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed DRX51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1635035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed DN Freecs53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2e…f106backed DN Freecs52c373.23$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DRX47c373.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.752,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed DN Freecs12c358.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329143.3%126 W · 165 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked DN Freecs22c335.76$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6714044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked DN Freecs7c308.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330421.4%65 W · 239 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed DN Freecs52c301.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9648448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed DRX59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12386758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed DN Freecs55c292.39$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16066947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed DN Freecs33c279.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed DRX48c271.58$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.128847.7%42 W · 46 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs43c269.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.611,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec02…3dd1backed DRX78c257.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8514049.3%69 W · 71 L-22.3wins-0.16per pick65cpaid-29%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x171d…2ab7backed DN Freecs49c247.84$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed DN Freecs34c246.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.235018%9 W · 41 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed DN Freecs50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.559647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…bf47backed DRX51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088551.8%44 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked DN Freecs28c190$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.824328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed DRX46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.615846.2%73 W · 85 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5832…f585backed DN Freecs55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked DRX77c171.76$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.57647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed DRX48c161.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9913040%52 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked DRX62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2941453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed DRX47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5721747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed DRX65c157.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2621857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked DN Freecs55c154.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked DRX51c150.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.663444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf0…ea00backed DRX78c150.22$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.653748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf7e…a3e6backed DN Freecs27c146.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75a4…3ff7backed DRX80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258269.5%57 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed DRX47c116.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6968443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…d199backed DN Freecs56c116.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655944.1%26 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked DRX64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed DRX76c105.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed DRX48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0830243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2586649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed DRX75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2563161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e4…8672backed DRX47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked DN Freecs49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4966116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked DRX51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0495551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed DN Freecs53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4444738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed DRX75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2037660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed DRX46c79.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.887352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed DN Freecs52c78.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9124939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed DN Freecs26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed DRX65c71.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9318741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed DRX48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.241347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed DRX47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.812060%72 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked DRX59c59.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2621840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed DRX51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed DRX52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6916…7345backed DN Freecs36c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5219541%80 W · 115 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f2…fbddbacked DRX47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1942753.2%227 W · 200 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.