Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d448d24ee832d5bee292b4382e6a492593e8e0cc0252d305ebc5f4a9cfab0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baam Esportsof Baam Esports, Lupus Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Baam Esports | 46c | 12,171$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,572.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baam Esports | 40c | 9,262$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.33 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Lupus Esports | 54c | 7,799$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Lupus Esports | 54c | 6,683$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Lupus Esports | 59c | 3,505$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.88 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Baam Esports | 46c | 2,830$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…b98bbacked Baam Esports | 46c | 2,440$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lupus Esports | 62c | 1,773$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.01 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Baam Esports | 40c | 1,493$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.6 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Lupus Esports | 50c | 1,310$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Lupus Esports | 57c | 893.12$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lupus Esports | 61c | 804$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Lupus Esports | 62c | 730$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.6 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lupus Esports | 59c | 629.58$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lupus Esports | 57c | 593$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.01 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Baam Esports | 40c | 587.11$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.17 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Lupus Esports | 61c | 581.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Lupus Esports | 59c | 480.15$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…4800backed Baam Esports | 42c | 467$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 463$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…80b5backed Baam Esports | 42c | 421$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…1a5cbacked Baam Esports | 42c | 419$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Lupus Esports | 60c | 332.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529e…683dbacked Lupus Esports | 61c | 303.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Lupus Esports | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…1ee2backed Baam Esports | 42c | 292$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…383cbacked Lupus Esports | 58c | 284$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 280.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…ff9dbacked Lupus Esports | 58c | 273$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…355ebacked Lupus Esports | 58c | 265$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 246.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…3f78backed Baam Esports | 42c | 245$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…2996backed Baam Esports | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d10fbacked Lupus Esports | 58c | 237$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…7057backed Lupus Esports | 58c | 233$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd24backed Lupus Esports | 58c | 221$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 213.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…0f23backed Lupus Esports | 58c | 213$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…930cbacked Lupus Esports | 58c | 205$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Lupus Esports | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Lupus Esports | 62c | 172.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…6617backed Lupus Esports | 58c | 153$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lupus Esports | 61c | 146.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baam Esports | 39c | 128.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…6894backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Baam Esports | 39c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Lupus Esports | 61c | 61.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Lupus Esports | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Baam Esports | 39c | 52.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Lupus Esports | 59c | 50.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Baam Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Lupus Esports | 59c | 41.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lupus Esports | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Lupus Esports | 52c | 37.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Lupus Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Baam Esports | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Lupus Esports | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DBaam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 WinnerBaam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 WinnerBaam Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.