Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dae8666aba9614ae27531322ad8bac23b719fd887db82792a460784e298796a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 44c | 573.13$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 145 | 29.7%43 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…8935backed Over | 45c | 415$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…f15cbacked Over | 45c | 406$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…8055backed Over | 44c | 269$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…3965backed Under | 55c | 252$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…9684backed Over | 45c | 251$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…29f3backed Under | 55c | 237$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…7f3abacked Over | 44c | 232$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…b364backed Under | 56c | 231$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 227.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 1,231 | 48.2%593 W · 638 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb095…103ebacked Under | 55c | 226$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…920cbacked Over | 45c | 226$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…0eacbacked Under | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…2e8ebacked Under | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…65c9backed Under | 56c | 207$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5f…ab9ebacked Under | 56c | 194$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…c219backed Over | 44c | 191$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…7847backed Under | 55c | 183$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe473…b468backed Under | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c2…f56dbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)Baam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DBaam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 WinnerBaam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 WinnerBaam Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.