Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc86b2f048237c7e47dd5ac7df91c16b4ce0e52449ca017737002177a49219f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baam Esportsof Lupus Esports, Baam Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,292 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lupus Esports | 0c | 5,712$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lupus Esports | 36c | 3,416$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.91 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baam Esports | 70c | 2,890$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.57 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baam Esports | 63c | 2,796$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.14 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Lupus Esports | 38c | 1,762$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.56 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lupus Esports | 31c | 1,566$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.86 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Baam Esports | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lupus Esports | 28c | 975$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Baam Esports | 56c | 957.8$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.81 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Lupus Esports | 30c | 880.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Baam Esports | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Baam Esports | 66c | 690.49$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…d3d0backed Lupus Esports | 2c | 637.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Lupus Esports | 37c | 523.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Lupus Esports | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Baam Esports | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Lupus Esports | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Baam Esports | 67c | 399.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Lupus Esports | 32c | 333.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Lupus Esports | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Baam Esports | 53c | 217.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked Lupus Esports | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 134 | 33.6%45 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Lupus Esports | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Baam Esports | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Lupus Esports | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Lupus Esports | 43c | 192.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Lupus Esports | 39c | 151.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Baam Esports | 69c | 145.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Lupus Esports | 40c | 133.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…233dbacked Lupus Esports | 22c | 123.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Baam Esports | 65c | 123$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Lupus Esports | 50c | 98.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lupus Esports | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lupus Esports | 38c | 76.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Lupus Esports | 37c | 69.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lupus Esports | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Baam Esports | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Lupus Esports | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Lupus Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Baam Esports | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Baam Esports | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Baam Esports | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Lupus Esports | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Baam Esports | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Baam Esports | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Baam Esports | 67c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)Baam Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DBaam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 WinnerBaam Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.