Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38de24a0ea1dbc98ee6250ac95335462a0f64fd9e52f3243e37cbe894e1ed858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baam Esportsof Lupus Esports, Baam Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,979 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Baam Esports | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lupus Esports | 33c | 1,239$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baam Esports | 57c | 601.09$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lupus Esports | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Lupus Esports | 3c | 439.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Lupus Esports | 43c | 288$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Lupus Esports | 14c | 245.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Lupus Esports | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Baam Esports | 80c | 212.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Lupus Esports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Baam Esports | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Lupus Esports | 43c | 79.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Lupus Esports | 43c | 69.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Lupus Esports | 41c | 67.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Lupus Esports | 33c | 60.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Lupus Esports | 40c | 41.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Baam Esports | 60c | 36.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Baam Esports | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Baam Esports | 63c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Baam Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BAM (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)Baam Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DBaam Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs Baam Esports - Game 2 WinnerBaam Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.