Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4894e6a0de0da758d6d4e68bc7e4521fbef846ae2cf8bce835b41db5eeb58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Zhang | 49c | 4,018$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Zhang | 38c | 2,650$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 2,006$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 2,001$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zhang | 38c | 1,880$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zhang | 39c | 1,865$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.97 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.98 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 1,500$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.67 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 1,257$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.34 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zhang | 40c | 1,069$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.06 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 920.07$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.07 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 628.66$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Zhang | 41c | 624.32$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 537.64$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.64 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 171.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 164.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…8465backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 162.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 151$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Zhang | 48c | 147.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…3a6abacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 130$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zhang | 40c | 106.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 99.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Zhang | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Zhang | 41c | 89.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zhang | 28c | 88.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…f8ddbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 88.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zhang | 40c | 74.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 73.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 69.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Zhang | 30c | 66.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 63.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…0b32backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 51.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 49.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 46.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 46.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Zhang | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…dd0abacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Zhang | 31c | 32.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 28.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 23.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2594…cd5abacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen ZhangAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs ZhangAuger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.