Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e71b3c6b61504df944761289aea4aef1d4587cee4050e4ce07e3299c54a9248

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Zhang
Resolved: Feb 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $396,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $465,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,234 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Zhang	12c	62,736$7,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,664.75	237	31.6%75 W · 162 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Zhang	9c	56,341$5,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,171.38	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Zhang	12c	26,530$3,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,104.52	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Zhang	9c	10,370$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.91	52	5.8%3 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Zhang	18c	8,193$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.81	761	46.6%355 W · 406 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Zhang	8c	6,342$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.32	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zhang	17c	5,191$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.39	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Zhang	11c	4,852$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.83	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Zhang	20c	4,098$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.02	381	33.9%129 W · 252 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Zhang	18c	3,955$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.28	313	32.3%101 W · 212 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Zhang	12c	3,810$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.68	472	52.1%246 W · 226 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Zhang	18c	3,298$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.67	213	38.5%82 W · 131 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Zhang	18c	2,800$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Zhang	14c	2,515$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.13	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Zhang	9c	2,446$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.19	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zhang	12c	2,441$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.46	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Zhang	8c	2,257$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.56	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zhang	18c	2,007$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.51	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Zhang	19c	1,769$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.19	1,193	48.9%583 W · 610 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945b…27c7backed Zhang	19c	1,700$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Zhang	18c	1,684$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.12	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Zhang	18c	1,550$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	4,076	39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L	+93.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zhang	16c	1,444$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.74	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Zhang	11c	1,340$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.41	226	34.5%78 W · 148 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Zhang	19c	1,288$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.23	289	33.2%96 W · 193 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zhang	16c	858.66$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.21	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang	18c	741.86$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.77	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fa…1a66backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	727.5$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.5	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Zhang	19c	683.83$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.93	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zhang	8c	674.72$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.08	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zhang	15c	599.94$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.99	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	506.56$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.38	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Zhang	8c	500.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Zhang	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	454	57.9%263 W · 191 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Zhang	12c	499.69$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Zhang	12c	490.75$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.89	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Zhang	15c	420.13$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.02	606	41.6%252 W · 354 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Zhang	19c	368.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0de…3bd7backed Zhang	18c	340$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Zhang	11c	331.97$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.73	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Zhang	15c	323.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.08	161	33.5%54 W · 107 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Zhang	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	1,240	41.2%511 W · 729 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Zhang	7c	300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Zhang	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	191	34%65 W · 126 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Zhang	18c	280$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	310	39.4%122 W · 188 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Zhang	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Zhang	18c	257.33$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.32	181	33.1%60 W · 121 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	99	55.6%55 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zhang	22c	217.05$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Zhang	14c	211.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Auger-Aliassime	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Zhang	18c	194.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Zhang	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	262	27.9%73 W · 189 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zhang	17c	175.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	4,765	47%2,238 W · 2,527 L	-82.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Zhang	19c	173.68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Zhang	19c	173$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	898	59.7%536 W · 362 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc00…fb0cbacked Zhang	25c	152.06$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Zhang	11c	143.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Zhang	13c	129.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	125.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Zhang	16c	112.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…de71backed Zhang	14c	107.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Zhang	10c	107.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	151	51.7%78 W · 73 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae2…da95backed Zhang	10c	107.51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Zhang	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Auger-Aliassime	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Zhang	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	270	58.1%157 W · 113 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auger-Aliassime	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Zhang	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	284	24.3%69 W · 215 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Auger-Aliassime	78c	99.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	893	64.4%575 W · 318 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Zhang	19c	95.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Auger-Aliassime	79c	92.84$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	244	54.9%134 W · 110 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Zhang	15c	91.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Auger-Aliassime	78c	75$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	689	51.1%352 W · 337 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bee…31fdbacked Zhang	15c	69.57$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519c…a9debacked Auger-Aliassime	79c	63.35$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	79cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Auger-Aliassime	80c	60.13$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	290	63.8%185 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Zhang	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,861	44.4%827 W · 1,034 L	-15.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Auger-Aliassime	74c	39.19$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.19	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba5…e557backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	83	74.7%62 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	70cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51cb…3dd0backed Auger-Aliassime	75c	34.24$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	210	72.4%152 W · 58 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	72cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39e2…27e2backed Auger-Aliassime	80c	29.01$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhangthis page
Auger-Aliassime vs. Zhang: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Auger-Aliassime vs. Zhang: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Auger-Aliassime vs. Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs ZhangAuger-Aliassime won
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event