Earnings · resolved market
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7200d6e5d29bb5b6e1b7a4eeac679b928d4f4c8392e8856eb33c475a87ca156c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 27c | 650.65$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…17cdbacked Yes | 75c | 593.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes | 80c | 512.53$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 19c | 379.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 27c | 241.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Yes | 79c | 225.84$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 199.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 24c | 192.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 71c | 168.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 23c | 155.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 123.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…cd5fbacked Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed No | 35c | 115.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 29c | 100.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 73c | 99.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 92.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 22c | 84.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 26c | 78.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 74c | 53.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 27c | 51.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a7c1backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 49.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked No | 28c | 47.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed No | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed No | 28c | 43.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…b9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928dbacked Yes | 79c | 27.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Yes | 71c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked Yes | 75c | 17.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…1c4bbacked Yes | 76c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.