WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54932d46ec3ddfde640d6c5377d5885d4f0bd6f9e62a3396da2c561cbc54e63d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 44c | 24,151$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,626.41 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 17,165$9,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.74 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 4,963$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 4c | 1,883$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 56c | 1,228$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 2c | 1,191$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 956$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 949.9$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.49 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 47c | 511.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.76 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 54c | 367.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 236.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 215.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…5846backed Under | 45c | 210.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 165.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 56c | 132.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 127.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 45c | 125.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 114.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 107.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 56c | 101.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 48c | 101.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Over | 56c | 93.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 56c | 89.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 58c | 85.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 37c | 78.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 76.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 22c | 75.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 65.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…d1adbacked Under | 45c | 59.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 46c | 52.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 53c | 50.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 37c | 50.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 48.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 54c | 46.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 41.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 44c | 40.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…4babbacked Under | 46c | 37.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 36.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 46c | 35.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Under | 45c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 70c | 24.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…0cd6backed Under | 46c | 23.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…2995backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.