TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Golden State Valkyries, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo55c4,551$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.4410438.5%40 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden State Valkyries45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5758259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Toronto Tempo55c2,030$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.777655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries26c1,661$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.981,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo58c1,630$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.7227949.1%137 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Toronto Tempo55c1,268$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.747159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries44c1,152$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.771,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries44c1,131$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3790449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Toronto Tempo57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.739339.8%37 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Golden State Valkyries49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Toronto Tempo51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries48c970.35$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6385948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries46c905.93$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.993248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Golden State Valkyries45c887.71$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.725930.5%18 W · 41 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Golden State Valkyries45c875$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.757338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries45c843.68$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6647246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Toronto Tempo59c809.53$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.510463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Toronto Tempo50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40014541.4%60 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Golden State Valkyries40c622.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.629548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b31…3e10backed Toronto Tempo49c615.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Golden State Valkyries48c575.4$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0515746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo72c560$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3736950.9%188 W · 181 L+16.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Golden State Valkyries45c547.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1613147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23085158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Golden State Valkyries28c470.4$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Golden State Valkyries45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Toronto Tempo73c413$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9317350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo55c402.89$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.961,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a1…d1eebacked Golden State Valkyries17c376.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Toronto Tempo54c372.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.085853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo51c292.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2939045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Golden State Valkyries46c270.34$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3630734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Golden State Valkyries46c247.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Golden State Valkyries46c233.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.618836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Toronto Tempo55c219.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.11752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Toronto Tempo54c209.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.545453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Toronto Tempo50c207.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6614148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Golden State Valkyries28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Golden State Valkyries20c195.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.777945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Toronto Tempo54c186.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Golden State Valkyries44c185$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.44641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Golden State Valkyries49c167.47$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.066845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Golden State Valkyries46c149.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7240247.3%190 W · 212 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries42c147.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7138940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries45c145.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1576142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Golden State Valkyries26c135.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.768640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries44c130.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.142046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Golden State Valkyries19c128.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412216.4%20 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo57c127.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7416153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo57c127.12$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1965751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Toronto Tempo54c113.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.424369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Toronto Tempo53c109.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.349355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Toronto Tempo53c107.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8619857.1%113 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e75…47e1backed Golden State Valkyries45c106.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.268138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries47c100.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9934448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Golden State Valkyries46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Golden State Valkyries51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5127649.6%137 W · 139 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Toronto Tempo57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Toronto Tempo52c99.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries48c95.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8432850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Golden State Valkyries47c87.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.336350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Toronto Tempo59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7513448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Golden State Valkyries50c76.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Golden State Valkyries48c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.569351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Golden State Valkyries46c66.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5414445.1%65 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Golden State Valkyries49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Golden State Valkyries47c63.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.928149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Toronto Tempo57c61.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.795856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Golden State Valkyries44c59.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.258939.3%35 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Golden State Valkyries32c55.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.718748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Golden State Valkyries32c52.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.618556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Golden State Valkyries47c40.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.222440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Golden State Valkyries48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27850%39 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries28c38.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8939150.4%197 W · 194 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Golden State Valkyries49c36.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.555844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Golden State Valkyries42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Golden State Valkyries47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Golden State Valkyries47c29.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.074667.4%31 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Golden State Valkyries49c28.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0911053.6%59 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Golden State Valkyries50c26.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.245168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Toronto Tempo59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.424759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed Golden State Valkyries46c25.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Golden State Valkyries46c24.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3162746.9%294 W · 333 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Toronto Tempo56c23.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3342749.4%211 W · 216 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.