WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d6a4ab78e261d007f96bb646cd5cda7c452177c887cf04a3c6b303dd3e5a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Golden State Valkyries, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 49,146$24,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,573.16 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 39,185$19,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,625.67 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,849.9 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 11,184$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.67 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 8,260$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.51 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 5,519$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 3,367$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.54 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,959$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 2,727$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,704$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,447$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.5 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.42 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,846$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 1,783$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,562$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,314$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.14 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,208$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.17 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 970$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 956.27$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.7 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 955$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.1 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 696.58$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.26 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 600$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Golden State Valkyries | 6c | 511.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 302.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 295.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 212.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 207.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Toronto Tempo | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 155.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 154.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 153$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 150.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 137.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 136.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 132.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 115.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 73.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 70.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 69.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 62.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 58.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 55.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 53.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 47.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 37.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 32.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 31.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 27.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 27.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Golden State Valkyries | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)this page
- Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.