TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c17,336$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,147.836735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b20…3ab0backed Under47c12,907$6,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,066.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c11,364$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.481,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over53c8,830$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.932070%14 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c6,912$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.6438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under53c6,016$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1953627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xbf08…907ebacked Over53c5,400$2,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under50c1,233$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.793354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed Over51c1,200$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.121838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c1,122$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.831,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over48c1,029$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.0815746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c766.46$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4689349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Over53c716.98$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.981752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c654.9$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0141145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.045850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under33c530.78$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5137141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over52c451.14$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.448743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c308.51$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.626247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under48c302$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b9a…4babbacked Under49c299.86$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c256$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.54454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over52c239.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.199255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a4…5846backed Under48c217.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c209.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22f…8339backed Under49c202.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c200.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4117946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Over52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+71%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under12c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under48c199.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.769348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over53c197.68$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9112359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf78b…d1adbacked Under48c170.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.539947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over48c144.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.37241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc475…8eefbacked Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c122$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3416450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over52c120.79$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.988442.9%36 W · 48 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3927049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under21c115.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6312216.4%20 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under48c113.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.613743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.779160.4%55 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under47c105.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4918850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c100.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2832948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f6…d13ebacked Over50c100.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.261540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5115…8c77backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066a…96a0backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over50c87.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8410853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed Under20c82.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over55c81.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7119257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under47c78.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7524546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over64c76.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.627945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over47c70.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2614345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over53c60.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.337470.3%52 W · 22 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c59.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8828647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3611156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c54.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4278548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334a…d8b4backed Under48c52.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.626054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under47c40.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1122440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over48c39.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.787147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x186b…9bbabacked Over49c39.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be8…26adbacked Over47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccd4…104fbacked Under38c37.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Over52c37.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over45c32.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.659336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c31.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8974942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Under49c29.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over52c28.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5414450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3f…2debbacked Over53c28.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7518441.8%77 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over65c24.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over53c24.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.685168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under48c24.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9623746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under48c24.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8332750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8683…56c7backed Over52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.042245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over52c21.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.156946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over70c18.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.388748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed Over78c13.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.