TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b9a…4bab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.46
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$12.85
National Bank Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keysbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$164.21
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.96
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+65%+$31.14
Hagen: Max Schoenhaus vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$26.2
Plovdiv 2: Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Plovdiv 2: Murkel Dellien vs Adrian Andreevbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.24
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$67.11
National Bank Open: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$58.51
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasakabacked Takuya Kumasaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.39
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.15
Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$34.74
Livesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$83.65
Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$25.26
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+144.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.91
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+187.9%+$48.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.