Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9172f2e4c1761700ddb136809e125a78e610aa40d43236bbc3b838034173d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Antonia Ruzic, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 26,981$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.94 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 17,420$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Antonia Ruzic | 1c | 15,941$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 14,312$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.41 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 14,215$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.4 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Antonia Ruzic | 4c | 8,984$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 10c | 8,407$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.12 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 8,090$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.2 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Antonia Ruzic | 6c | 5,884$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.77 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Antonia Ruzic | 3c | 5,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28a3backed Antonia Ruzic | 1c | 5,143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Antonia Ruzic | 1c | 4,748$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…46febacked Antonia Ruzic | 2c | 4,453$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 3,115$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Antonia Ruzic | 4c | 2,610$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Antonia Ruzic | 15c | 2,307$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.09 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Antonia Ruzic | 6c | 2,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Antonia Ruzic | 3c | 1,731$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 1,698$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Antonia Ruzic | 2c | 1,661$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 1,366$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 20c | 1,330$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Antonia Ruzic | 14c | 1,107$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Antonia Ruzic | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Antonia Ruzic | 14c | 861.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 815.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 777.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Antonia Ruzic | 3c | 717.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Antonia Ruzic | 20c | 596.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 4c | 594.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 517.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 439.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 419.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Antonia Ruzic | 6c | 410.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Antonia Ruzic | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 348.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 341.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Antonia Ruzic | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 286.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…4babbacked Antonia Ruzic | 17c | 281.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 279.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Antonia Ruzic | 4c | 275$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Antonia Ruzic | 5c | 264.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Antonia Ruzic | 5c | 252.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 10c | 221.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Madison Keys | 78c | 203.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Antonia Ruzic | 6c | 191.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Antonia Ruzic | 8c | 187.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Antonia Ruzic | 7c | 180.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Antonia Ruzic | 20c | 172.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Antonia Ruzic | 10c | 172.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Antonia Ruzic | 19c | 156.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Antonia Ruzic | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…632abacked Antonia Ruzic | 9c | 133.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 123.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a4…190ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 105.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Antonia Ruzic | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…0b93backed Antonia Ruzic | 18c | 76.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Antonia Ruzic | 16c | 71.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Madison Keys | 76c | 43.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Madison Keys | 79c | 41.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keysthis page
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5)Keys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.