Tennis · resolved market
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2a0363743c2211a9de6eda4a169bc7b4de1f307691209fef11ad65a311a7e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Donskiof Alexander Donski, Takuya Kumasaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Alexander Donski | 64c | 34,290$21,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,345.96 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Takuya Kumasaka | 28c | 26,587$7,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Takuya Kumasaka | 5c | 9,320$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Takuya Kumasaka | 42c | 8,944$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.62 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Takuya Kumasaka | 47c | 5,315$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 3,669$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.13 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 19c | 3,107$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexander Donski | 58c | 2,987$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.35 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Takuya Kumasaka | 18c | 2,979$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.49 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…0a7ebacked Alexander Donski | 68c | 2,058$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Alexander Donski | 57c | 1,737$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.06 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Takuya Kumasaka | 26c | 1,598$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.03 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Takuya Kumasaka | 25c | 1,311$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Takuya Kumasaka | 15c | 1,135$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Takuya Kumasaka | 23c | 1,132$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Takuya Kumasaka | 43c | 840.56$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Donski | 69c | 798.71$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 749.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 682.47$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexander Donski | 63c | 631$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.78 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 599.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Takuya Kumasaka | 18c | 594.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 22c | 505$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Alexander Donski | 80c | 468.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Donski | 58c | 458.19$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alexander Donski | 61c | 411.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alexander Donski | 75c | 381.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 338.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.57 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 291.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Takuya Kumasaka | 20c | 280.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alexander Donski | 66c | 263.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 256.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 237$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 15c | 194.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 14c | 184.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Takuya Kumasaka | 41c | 166.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Takuya Kumasaka | 44c | 136.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 27c | 132.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Alexander Donski | 75c | 132.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 42c | 129.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexander Donski | 59c | 128$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Alexander Donski | 61c | 123.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Alexander Donski | 61c | 123.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Takuya Kumasaka | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Takuya Kumasaka | 14c | 105.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Takuya Kumasaka | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Takuya Kumasaka | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alexander Donski | 63c | 101.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alexander Donski | 60c | 100.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Takuya Kumasaka | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Takuya Kumasaka | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 46c | 97.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Takuya Kumasaka | 32c | 96.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Alexander Donski | 67c | 87.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Alexander Donski | 59c | 77.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Takuya Kumasaka | 18c | 74.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Alexander Donski | 58c | 73.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Takuya Kumasaka | 29c | 70.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Alexander Donski | 62c | 67.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alexander Donski | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Takuya Kumasaka | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…4babbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 43c | 63.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Alexander Donski | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…f89fbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 60.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alexander Donski | 60c | 60.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Takuya Kumasaka | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Alexander Donski | 58c | 53.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Takuya Kumasaka | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexander Donski | 71c | 52.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alexander Donski | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Takuya Kumasaka | 44c | 46.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 46.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Alexander Donski | 60c | 43.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Alexander Donski | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed Alexander Donski | 65c | 42.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alexander Donski | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alexander Donski | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alexander Donski | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Takuya Kumasaka | 41c | 39.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Takuya Kumasaka | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…3ccebacked Alexander Donski | 55c | 37.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Alexander Donski | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Takuya Kumasaka | 46c | 32.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…0147backed Alexander Donski | 65c | 32.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Takuya Kumasaka | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Alexander Donski | 62c | 29.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Takuya Kumasaka | 42c | 28.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Alexander Donski | 73c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…6c17backed Alexander Donski | 60c | 27.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Alexander Donski | 66c | 26.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…646ebacked Alexander Donski | 60c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alexander Donski | 72c | 25.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Takuya Kumasaka | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasakathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Donski vs KumasakaDonski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.