Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv 2: Murkel Dellien vs Adrian Andreev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e3a9c44983fbf63449e33ae4e556341232ff86c333a3f2afb7255eb5017e39b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrian Andreevof Murkel Dellien, Adrian Andreev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrian Andreev | 73c | 6,534$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Murkel Dellien | 13c | 4,553$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.88 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Murkel Dellien | 14c | 4,316$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.17 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Murkel Dellien | 22c | 2,596$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.22 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murkel Dellien | 7c | 2,572$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Murkel Dellien | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Murkel Dellien | 11c | 2,006$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Murkel Dellien | 18c | 1,088$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Murkel Dellien | 32c | 1,042$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.31 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Murkel Dellien | 15c | 805.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Murkel Dellien | 32c | 615.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Murkel Dellien | 34c | 606.04$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Murkel Dellien | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Murkel Dellien | 27c | 421.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…5846backed Murkel Dellien | 16c | 362.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…4babbacked Murkel Dellien | 16c | 359.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…d1adbacked Murkel Dellien | 16c | 284.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Murkel Dellien | 13c | 279.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Murkel Dellien | 7c | 258.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Murkel Dellien | 5c | 200.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Murkel Dellien | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Adrian Andreev | 80c | 152.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Murkel Dellien | 14c | 151.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Murkel Dellien | 14c | 143.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Murkel Dellien | 39c | 121.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Adrian Andreev | 80c | 114.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Murkel Dellien | 13c | 95.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Murkel Dellien | 32c | 83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…d18cbacked Murkel Dellien | 13c | 75.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Murkel Dellien | 15c | 71.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adrian Andreev | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Murkel Dellien | 21c | 66.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Murkel Dellien | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Murkel Dellien | 20c | 63.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Adrian Andreev | 73c | 62.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Murkel Dellien | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Murkel Dellien | 31c | 59.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Murkel Dellien | 30c | 59.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Adrian Andreev | 74c | 52.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murkel Dellien | 29c | 45.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Murkel Dellien | 32c | 43.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Adrian Andreev | 75c | 37.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Adrian Andreev | 68c | 27.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Adrian Andreev | 70c | 23.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Adrian Andreev | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Adrian Andreev | 64c | 17.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Adrian Andreev | 72c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.