TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over50c27,265$13,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,632.7110749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c20,180$10,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,713.3624347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c12,932$6,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.9846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c9,384$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,69278548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c9,331$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,713.691,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c8,676$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,164.7238650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under51c8,540$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.3114353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over69c7,610$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.519042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c6,800$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under48c6,648$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,191.157549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under51c5,244$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.457950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf08…907ebacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.631963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over50c3,882$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9411127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c3,391$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.241,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under16c2,702$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5226147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Under39c2,460$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.71330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under4c2,011$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3715741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over49c1,900$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9694763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,634$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.3383748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under31c1,507$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.3955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over50c1,485$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.285657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under36c1,467$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,374$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.6499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under51c1,295$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under52c1,170$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.526350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c1,087$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3841145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c1,030$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.9728647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212d…5023backed Over49c1,019$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under52c899.95$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9713742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fe…aac5backed Under51c765.25$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under32c709.49$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0212661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c662.72$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6237141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over48c582.03$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9815746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c561.46$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under30c548.83$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.132150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c510.21$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.926247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d6d6backed Over51c499.97$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c464.25$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4174942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Under50c400$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993040%12 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under28c387.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.642528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c383.17$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8338645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under24c374.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4430649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over48c299.8$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8939947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under50c290.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Under6c273.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under12c264.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1531448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c256$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under49c236.61$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1612359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under36c233.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7423955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c232.09$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8450952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under7c226.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4737650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c225$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7532540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked Under37c219.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.193033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under31c215.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.522365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over50c205.72$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8623746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Under14c203.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299827.6%27 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Under50c200.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Over48c195.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.914100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.66050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Under53c188.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under52c186.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over79c182$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8517656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under30c179.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6324656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under30c156.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3415453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over47c138$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1430734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1491…69ddbacked Under49c116.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c113.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7916450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under49c109$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.419348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c105.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7132948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under49c102.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.487470.3%52 W · 22 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under29c102$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.758748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa871…3932backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under48c98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0424546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Under38c95.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.242653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Under37c95.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.983148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over48c95.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5632750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over47c95.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.659336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f3c…1c56backed Over78c90.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under22c90.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.375853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under34c89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c88.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7440550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under35c86.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2630347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over57c85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2421446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c79.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1771245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over49c74.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.217147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under18c73.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9834918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under32c72.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.028556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under31c67.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1413355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.665147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under29c65.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.922440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.