WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaac2fde9ceff77d4fa7e7f1488702c0b4973e2b2f5642e391d60172db3895f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 54c | 5,685$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.03 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 46c | 5,003$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.64 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Over | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 1c | 1,650$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 1,423$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.18 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 999.98$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.24 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 66c | 975$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.08 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 811.75$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.48 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 46c | 739.88$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 76c | 654.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 52c | 589.65$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…af18backed Under | 36c | 490.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 390$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 55c | 333.32$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 302.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 279.89$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Over | 74c | 266$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 52c | 240.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 63c | 230.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 22c | 213$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 33c | 208.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 67c | 170.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 47c | 161.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 60c | 124.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 123.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 53c | 114.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 60c | 114$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 104.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 98.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 87.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Over | 47c | 86.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 76.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 80c | 76.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 74.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 29c | 56.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 51c | 53.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 28c | 51.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 50.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 28c | 43.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 27c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 42.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 42.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 49c | 39.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 34.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 72c | 30.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 27.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 25.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Over | 48c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 23.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 62c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.