WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f2f4acc3d053ad03e9c6f87dca150915b1a1f4e00976b1af88fed51439fd179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 19,372$9,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,879.31 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 49c | 6,666$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.66 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 5,494$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 5,200$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.24 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Over | 49c | 2,066$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 66c | 1,263$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.37 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 1,227$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…bdbabacked Under | 51c | 1,021$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 952$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 781.48$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.37 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 613$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 51c | 489.08$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 366$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 50c | 310.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 67c | 298.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 195.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 188.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 129.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Under | 52c | 115.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 93.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 83.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 45c | 75.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 71.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 57.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 41.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed7…aae7backed Over | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…4f6ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 31.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Under | 51c | 25.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.