WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e439ac10b93e7b3d44a164ae64e19d5c1b2c40cde2c6b01edaf9f9405aa22c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty	47c	14,466$6,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.02	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Chicago Sky	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900.02	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed New York Liberty	49c	8,217$3,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,992.17	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky	51c	7,039$3,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,450.1	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky	51c	4,731$2,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,318.19	361	54%195 W · 166 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed New York Liberty	49c	4,127$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.24	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Chicago Sky	54c	3,719$2,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,716.53	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky	51c	2,338$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.62	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Liberty	49c	2,300$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Chicago Sky	51c	1,199$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.48	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky	62c	1,011$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.54	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Chicago Sky	51c	705$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.25	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked New York Liberty	32c	694$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.94	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed New York Liberty	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty	38c	452.13$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.42	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Chicago Sky	78c	339.94$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.79	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky	57c	336.03$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.07	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed New York Liberty	45c	250.31$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.35	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky	50c	220.02$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.01	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed New York Liberty	49c	189$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.61	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty	44c	153.74$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.24	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky	55c	148.88$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.64	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky	54c	123.8$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.83	327	43.7%143 W · 184 L	-23.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty	45c	121.8$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.81	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky	57c	102$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	284	47.9%136 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty	42c	100.71$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.8	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky	51c	100.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed New York Liberty	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8537…b98bbacked Chicago Sky	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Chicago Sky	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Sky	51c	98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.02	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed New York Liberty	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-10.1wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked New York Liberty	45c	87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.58	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Chicago Sky	51c	67.1$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.88	123	59.3%73 W · 50 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed New York Liberty	50c	57.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+80.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed New York Liberty	42c	53.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty	47c	50.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky	59c	48.42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.85	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f53…41bdbacked New York Liberty	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Chicago Sky	54c	41.83$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.24	426	49.3%210 W · 216 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked New York Liberty	45c	41.34$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Liberty	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8e…2555backed New York Liberty	51c	39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32c6…bf45backed New York Liberty	49c	36.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Chicago Sky	51c	33.54$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.43	74	70.3%52 W · 22 L	+9.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+23%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed New York Liberty	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	260	54.6%142 W · 118 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed New York Liberty	43c	27.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4c…3bb8backed Chicago Sky	56c	26.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.79	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed New York Liberty	47c	25.6$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed New York Liberty	47c	24.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky	53c	24.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.69	387	44.7%173 W · 214 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Chicago Sky	51c	21.52$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c34…b7adbacked Chicago Sky	56c	21.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.43	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Chicago Sky	51c	20.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	144	50%72 W · 72 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)this page
Chicago Sky vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Over won
Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Chicago Sky won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event