TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky48c3,495$1,681 inWon+$1,814.1685948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky52c2,708$1,397 inWon+$1,310.821,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty49c2,436$1,203 inLost-$1,203.1723149.4%114 W · 117 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty49c1,390$681 inLost-$680.8851147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fe…aac5backed New York Liberty52c1,272$661 inLost-$661.372646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty47c1,206$567 inLost-$566.8256455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked New York Liberty53c1,130$599 inLost-$598.95752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky51c978.67$499 inWon+$479.5579648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky50c843.38$422 inWon+$421.6939045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty49c824.52$404 inLost-$404.0130054%162 W · 138 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Chicago Sky49c612.24$300 inWon+$312.2414948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed New York Liberty50c600$300 inLost-$30013249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069a…7c82backed Chicago Sky50c531.66$267 inWon+$264.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky49c526.2$258 inWon+$268.3693248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed New York Liberty47c510.64$240 inLost-$2405850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked New York Liberty53c450$239 inLost-$238.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked New York Liberty49c433.02$214 inLost-$2141118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-69.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Liberty49c408.16$200 inLost-$20030347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky53c380.36$202 inWon+$178.7790449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky52c373.04$195 inWon+$178.271,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Chicago Sky48c346$166 inWon+$179.9213649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky48c346$166 inWon+$179.9239450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Chicago Sky60c336.05$200 inWon+$136.055561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Sky48c287.3$138 inWon+$149.342046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty49c211.53$104 inLost-$103.6571245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty48c205.77$99 inLost-$98.7747246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed New York Liberty53c200.09$106 inLost-$105.913946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Chicago Sky52c192.31$100 inWon+$92.311662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty41c179.3$73 inLost-$73.3576142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Chicago Sky47c168$79 inWon+$89.0422446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky51c140$71 inWon+$68.628447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Liberty49c54.9$27 inLost-$26.920440.7%83 W · 121 L-16.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky55c26.2$14 inWon+$11.7938940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty51c25.05$13 inLost-$12.7832850.3%165 W · 163 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed New York Liberty49c23.92$12 inLost-$11.7219245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Chicago Sky69c21.35$15 inWon+$6.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.