WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92db4f523a1b83bb6024eba9db79ef2ece106577721b3e2f05d2131da9fc0118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Chicago Sky | 76c | 1,361$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty | 39c | 1,053$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.66 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed New York Liberty | 40c | 900$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked New York Liberty | 25c | 572.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 346$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 342$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty | 24c | 331.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 256$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 156.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 59c | 116$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 110.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 28c | 71.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 44c | 47.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 34.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Sky | 62c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago Sky | 62c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.