TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Sky58c6,927$4,010 inWon+$2,917.1823245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty42c4,423$1,853 inLost-$1,852.8683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty44c2,709$1,192 inLost-$1,191.7838650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Sky56c1,800$999 inWon+$800.9424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty20c1,156$227 inLost-$226.5337141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Chicago Sky58c1,040$603 inWon+$436.795657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty41c910.76$373 inLost-$373.4117946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Liberty42c850$360 inLost-$360.4230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty20c628$126 inLost-$125.636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky80c495.89$397 inWon+$99.1855255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky59c375.75$221 inWon+$154.4889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty35c311.11$110 inLost-$110.11,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky58c306.15$178 inWon+$128.0764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty42c286.5$120 inLost-$120.3374942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed New York Liberty43c254$110 inLost-$109.8612345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Liberty41c180$74 inLost-$74.422446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty49c160$78 inLost-$78.471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked New York Liberty37c136$50 inLost-$49.6831448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Chicago Sky58c121.67$71 inWon+$51.117946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Chicago Sky51c80$41 inWon+$39.28746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Sky70c78.41$55 inWon+$23.730649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed New York Liberty17c76$13 inLost-$12.921729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty42c71.84$30 inLost-$30.1732750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed New York Liberty45c71.23$32 inLost-$31.9512359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Liberty29c68.97$20 inLost-$2013440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky57c55.91$32 inWon+$24.091,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chicago Sky76c50$38 inWon+$1223955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty42c49.3$21 inLost-$20.728447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty34c49.07$17 inLost-$16.6641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Chicago Sky66c48.03$32 inWon+$16.3310657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Chicago Sky57c45.63$26 inWon+$19.6242649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed New York Liberty45c34.42$15 inLost-$15.447470.3%52 W · 22 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty41c31.63$13 inLost-$12.9732540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed New York Liberty41c30$12 inLost-$12.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty43c28.34$12 inLost-$12.0432346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Sky52c28.21$15 inWon+$13.646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.