TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c12,313$5,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.081,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over52c9,223$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.069245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c5,522$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.9264152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c3,312$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.791,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over67c3,311$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.237141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over53c3,110$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.755158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7f…7b8abacked Under47c1,890$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c1,826$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.7889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over53c1,820$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.5614346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c1,700$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78232049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c1,025$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under31c767.17$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.63531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over54c682.19$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.082445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under46c652.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9919446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.355967.8%40 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over53c583$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6524347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Over55c546.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4814948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under46c526.83$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under26c515.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0134726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c510$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c505.33$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878d…4f8dbacked Over55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+83.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c496.26$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2832743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over53c468$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over64c399.86$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.952948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c340.65$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under16c303.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4531043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under46c277.1$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1914345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over55c262.45$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2127449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c242.58$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4932540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over48c237.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.752268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over50c228$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c211.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5271245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under47c179.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9241147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under10c177.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.115741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over54c173$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.583158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.928558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c144.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6839947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under27c133.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1824656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c127$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6916450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under28c124$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7250646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under47c121.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1132750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under27c112.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.717350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Under46c108.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Under55c89.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under49c84.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.275947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c79.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf80…5993backed Over65c77.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.02666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under38c62.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0222440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.517143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…36f4backed Over54c53.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over66c45.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.555156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b81…988cbacked Under47c44.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under47c42.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.818939.3%35 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab1…638bbacked Over59c42.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206030%18 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under29c39.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under47c39.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6514450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under48c38.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.528850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over60c36.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7410453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2331448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefe…7ff4backed Under48c33.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under46c33.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.194854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffcb…d630backed Over80c32.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7242649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over60c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7134753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Under45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Under34c29.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under48c27.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.194660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Over50c25.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.523956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3717946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over56c23.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1923955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under47c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.925945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7436454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9432150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.