WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87801bf2b9360e38271708ddf7b72f74c10cfc7c780a2816b58632338f48f9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Golden State Valkyries, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.96 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 3,366$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.38 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 2,699$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.34 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Golden State Valkyries | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.52 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 674.5$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 653.62$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.7 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 636.87$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.63 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 511.14$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Mystics | 60c | 486.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 419.12$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 32c | 298$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 275$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 38c | 249.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 180.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 176.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Washington Mystics | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Golden State Valkyries | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 117$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 109.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 104.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Washington Mystics | 58c | 70.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 64.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Washington Mystics | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Washington Mystics | 63c | 35.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Golden State Valkyries | 34c | 34.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 21.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 21.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.