WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f96e64316c985d774db7b502a98dac473f537216862653b05ad6420261eac07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 52c | 48,256$25,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,163.12 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 28,648$13,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,753.05 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 13,664$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,558.84 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 8,004$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.83 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 52c | 4,152$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 52c | 3,518$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.64 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,316$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 1,900$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.69 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 1,814$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 1,515$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 52c | 1,384$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,029$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 32c | 988.03$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 894.17$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.2 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 783.2$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.77 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 767.98$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.63 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 722.24$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 634$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 546.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Over | 55c | 520$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 464.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 49c | 405.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 370.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 48c | 343.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 66c | 309.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Over | 79c | 254.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 223.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 68c | 221$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 218.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 39c | 212$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…4f8dbacked Under | 49c | 207.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 49c | 203.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 200.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 174.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 167.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 161.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 39c | 151.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 121$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe5…bca0backed Under | 45c | 119.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 108.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 92.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 81.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 51c | 77.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 67c | 62.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 61.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 47.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 46.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 52c | 44.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Under | 49c | 42.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 50c | 35.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 35.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Over | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5c…a04ebacked Over | 58c | 29.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 64c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.