WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c2376fadbf148b54637f794ee00ac62c76ad433c02d80da7785084e9e668f7

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,626 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1681…5032backed Under	54c	5,571$2,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,580.58	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	46c	3,385$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.07	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over	1c	3,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	449	15.6%70 W · 379 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under	58c	2,060$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.38	104	63.5%66 W · 38 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over	47c	1,383$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.88	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	19c	1,374$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.26	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	47c	1,326$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.21	320	49.4%158 W · 162 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under	53c	1,326$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.21	143	53.8%77 W · 66 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	53c	1,319$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.89	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under	54c	924.91$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.03	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	46c	790.1$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.8	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under	72c	662.25$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.62	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over	47c	638.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over	46c	468.98$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.64	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	40c	462.1$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.92	321	50.2%161 W · 160 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	450$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	26c	417.32$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.48	347	26.5%92 W · 255 L	-20.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over	46c	414$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.82	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	67c	350$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.7	173	50.3%87 W · 86 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	52c	284.67$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.47	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Over	47c	238.3$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	46c	181.82$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over	44c	175.46$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.99	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under	51c	168.19$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.19	141	48.9%69 W · 72 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	43c	165.26$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.06	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4aa…0904backed Over	49c	142.86$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	42c	135$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	269	53.2%143 W · 126 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	53c	125$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.75	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	47c	122$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.34	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1c…d47dbacked Under	70c	112.86$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.86	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Over	40c	98.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.86	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Over	41c	98.37$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.19	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	46c	94.47$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	48c	91.67$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1978…efacbacked Under	55c	91.09$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.09	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	-10.1wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over	43c	79.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	38c	76.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	50c	70.59$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.3	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	38c	66.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	411	47%193 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	52c	63.47$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.76	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	60c	61.72$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	32c	52.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.89	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Under	59c	50.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	60c	45.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.25	246	56.5%139 W · 107 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under	58c	44.91$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.91	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	47c	44.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	47c	42.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under	57c	42.11$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.11	76	69.7%53 W · 23 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	43c	37.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over	31c	36.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	192	57.3%110 W · 82 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Over	42c	35.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	42c	34.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over	46c	34.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1957…0e20backed Over	43c	33.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	32c	33.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-7.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under	56c	31.82$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	184	41.8%77 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Under	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over	47c	21.42$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5this page
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana FeverLas Vegas Aces won
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5Under won
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 193.5Under won
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 194.5Under won
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event