WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a783ab2a030a54e3a0367e0ef50d9a82505f58d3f64e54bf371f20a1005ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 21,534$10,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,512.06 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 50c | 12,000$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.96 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Under | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 9,926$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.37 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.98 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 3,853$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.79 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 51c | 2,720$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.22 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,545$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.67 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 50c | 2,453$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.77 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d6d6backed Over | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,445$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,265$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 1c | 1,209$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 1,024$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 62c | 908.11$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.21 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 588.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 48c | 535$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 515.28$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 52c | 385.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 374.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 40c | 372.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c0…33d1backed Under | 64c | 288.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Under | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Under | 66c | 260.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 5c | 251.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 48c | 229.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 210.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…a6dbbacked Over | 51c | 195.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 52c | 193.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 25c | 190.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 66c | 184.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 29c | 137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 48c | 131.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 51c | 119.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 15c | 107.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 58c | 101.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 98.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 84.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…06dcbacked Over | 50c | 80.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 67c | 74.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 48c | 63.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 26c | 59.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Over | 48c | 47.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…2debbacked Over | 48c | 41.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 30c | 40.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…197abacked Over | 50c | 29.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 48c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 48c | 26.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 25.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana FeverLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 193.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 194.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.