TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Las Vegas Acesof Indiana Fever, Las Vegas Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever47c2,449$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.7999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces54c2,196$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.6255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Las Vegas Aces52c2,113$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.372669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Indiana Fever49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Indiana Fever48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Las Vegas Aces51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Las Vegas Aces54c1,845$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.76154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Indiana Fever46c1,600$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73619446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Indiana Fever48c1,473$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.236845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37032540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces50c916.14$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.581,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Las Vegas Aces63c828$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3626147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces54c651.47$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7512661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever55c633.79$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4989349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf505…8862backed Indiana Fever49c587.76$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces51c576.88$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6738650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Indiana Fever49c574.61$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.565242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Indiana Fever48c461.81$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.677549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Indiana Fever49c429.31$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.362343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Las Vegas Aces21c331.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.11540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever34c323.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.481,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Las Vegas Aces31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5812846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Indiana Fever49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces51c293.63$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9913249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Indiana Fever47c290$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.311457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd88…beeebacked Indiana Fever49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Indiana Fever46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Las Vegas Aces60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces60c199.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7536454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Las Vegas Aces53c188.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Las Vegas Aces51c180.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.95839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Las Vegas Aces54c163.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3712650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4aa…0904backed Indiana Fever47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Fever21c142.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4234726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Fever48c140.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Las Vegas Aces52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever47c118.16$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1271245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ff…3c64backed Indiana Fever78c109$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Las Vegas Aces52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Las Vegas Aces52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1516153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Indiana Fever32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Indiana Fever47c83.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Las Vegas Aces49c75.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4310853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever47c74.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces55c61.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4830649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Indiana Fever48c60.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7610454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Las Vegas Aces45c59.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.478640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Las Vegas Aces63c58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4610838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Las Vegas Aces54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Las Vegas Aces53c55.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.093754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces53c55.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Indiana Fever43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3522440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Indiana Fever34c44.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9615453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever46c44.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4832049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever49c43.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana Fever57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3115346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed Indiana Fever46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Las Vegas Aces51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever49c38.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6531448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Indiana Fever48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.244355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Las Vegas Aces31c37.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.775168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Las Vegas Aces51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Las Vegas Aces51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.153053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Las Vegas Aces52c34.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.715844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Indiana Fever34c32.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0424656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Indiana Fever49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155238.5%20 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever62c29.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4237141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever47c29.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7932750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces45c27.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd703…55d0backed Las Vegas Aces52c26.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Las Vegas Aces52c26.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.85738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Las Vegas Aces51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2511156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe326…f075backed Las Vegas Aces54c23.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186b…9bbabacked Las Vegas Aces52c21.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Indiana Fever49c20.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.257248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Indiana Fever53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Las Vegas Aces54c19.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.092065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Las Vegas Aces52c19.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3517343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.