WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 193.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d01c7387adbb2db6fddce3d5edc5477d73d29da0e868c8a02e13cc9c889a4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 12c | 3,930$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.31 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 2,000$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.56 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.56 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,805$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.11 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,213$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.24 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 50c | 975.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 718.76$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.11 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 632.85$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 53c | 533.11$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 53c | 489$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Under | 54c | 459.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 51c | 458.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 445.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 48c | 372.22$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 197.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 55c | 192.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 11c | 181.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 147.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 118.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 46c | 113.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 89.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…de72backed Under | 48c | 75.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…146abacked Under | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 47c | 52.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 47c | 41.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 39.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 54c | 37.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 47c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 193.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana FeverLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 192.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 194.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 195.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.