WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0494531dbbf16baa82eb2b1684f522ac05cd93f4cba9f3f578733b10f792ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 37,511$18,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,158.96 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 51c | 32,930$16,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,794.24 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 5,475$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.49 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 49c | 5,328$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.31 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,929$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5cd8backed Over | 51c | 2,870$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 1,994$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.73 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 1,983$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.13 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 52c | 1,493$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.3 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 53c | 1,368$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 1,336$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…c3ebbacked Under | 50c | 1,306$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 7c | 1,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 6c | 1,091$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 710.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.61 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 681.03$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 572.28$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 570.87$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 12c | 465.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 51c | 357.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 51c | 333.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 12c | 229.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 223.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 7c | 223.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 218.28$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 218$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…900fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 193.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 48c | 89.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…b678backed Over | 51c | 76.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 74.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 49c | 60.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 75c | 59.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 49c | 58.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Over | 51c | 56.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 42.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 41.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Under | 69c | 39.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 27.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5this page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.