WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0594be2920078a671a379ef3cfca529f37d1f501c26f14f392dec1dbf315d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 3,346$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.19 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 1,015$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Under | 71c | 708.7$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Over | 52c | 668.08$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 50c | 302.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 71c | 224.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 215.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 7c | 200.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 199.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 181.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622c…4309backed Over | 56c | 178.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 155.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 143.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 139.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 111$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 50c | 100.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 46c | 94.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 49c | 90.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 76.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 71.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 46c | 65.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 65.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 53.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 53c | 50.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…c482backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…3a1dbacked Under | 49c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 54c | 23.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 55c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5this page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.