TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof Las Vegas Aces, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Chicago Sky52c25,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,999.969245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces46c20,291$9,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,374.21,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Las Vegas Aces48c16,836$8,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,080.9523245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Chicago Sky56c13,720$7,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,036.6810749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Chicago Sky53c13,095$6,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.7411457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces47c10,060$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,728.232049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces46c9,484$4,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,386.4489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky54c8,194$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.0827449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Chicago Sky52c5,634$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.328146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Chicago Sky53c5,632$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.458859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Chicago Sky53c5,509$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.225561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Las Vegas Aces44c5,506$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.1631043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Chicago Sky54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3007159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Las Vegas Aces47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.997950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Las Vegas Aces48c4,046$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces48c3,356$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.071,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9813746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Las Vegas Aces48c2,932$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.3613649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces48c2,932$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.3638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Sky51c2,549$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.024963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Chicago Sky52c2,402$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Las Vegas Aces48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9606845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky52c1,975$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.3132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Chicago Sky50c1,810$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces46c1,666$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.3640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces46c1,654$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.8878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Las Vegas Aces46c1,518$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.2419446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces46c1,275$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9632150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Chicago Sky52c1,127$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.859140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces49c1,045$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8536154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Chicago Sky54c1,008$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.577655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Chicago Sky52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d6…513fbacked Chicago Sky54c999.95$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+78%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky56c999.18$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.7455255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces48c966.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3437141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Chicago Sky56c703.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3220340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky47c694.45$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.6799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces23c646.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3134726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Las Vegas Aces47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014948.3%72 W · 77 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Las Vegas Aces48c617.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.223053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky52c608$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Las Vegas Aces49c512$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0315746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Las Vegas Aces46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Las Vegas Aces49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe15b…c15cbacked Las Vegas Aces47c467.52$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces48c466.89$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Las Vegas Aces47c400.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7813147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Las Vegas Aces46c320$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.26544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Chicago Sky53c311.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.323754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Sky51c283.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.055259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces48c252$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces50c220.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0938…a9a8backed Las Vegas Aces49c214$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.861442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78b…de1abacked Las Vegas Aces47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Las Vegas Aces44c204$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.765242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Las Vegas Aces45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Chicago Sky39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Chicago Sky53c196.94$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.944463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Chicago Sky51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Las Vegas Aces48c192.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7614345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Las Vegas Aces49c189.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.872245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Las Vegas Aces47c168.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.217138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Las Vegas Aces50c163.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2313355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Las Vegas Aces49c161$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.435853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Las Vegas Aces45c151.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Las Vegas Aces46c148$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.08156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick36cpaid-86.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Chicago Sky54c139.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.177435.1%26 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Las Vegas Aces48c126.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Las Vegas Aces46c124$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0416450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Chicago Sky55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Las Vegas Aces45c108.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.747945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Las Vegas Aces48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Las Vegas Aces33c100.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Chicago Sky55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Chicago Sky56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Chicago Sky45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Las Vegas Aces49c94.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Las Vegas Aces50c93.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Chicago Sky54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Las Vegas Aces46c89.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3624546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Las Vegas Aces48c86.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.658045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Chicago Sky52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6228558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces48c84.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5634448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Las Vegas Aces48c83.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2512359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces49c82.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8719257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b66…8501backed Chicago Sky52c82.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5d6…7192backed Chicago Sky55c81.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Las Vegas Aces47c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.072958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Las Vegas Aces48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84346.5%20 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a38…9ffcbacked Las Vegas Aces23c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Chicago Sky54c57.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.384369.8%30 W · 13 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Chicago Sky53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Chicago Sky77c56.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.028457.1%48 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01d7…f197backed Chicago Sky52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Las Vegas Aces50c51.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.158556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Chicago Sky47c51.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0613138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Chicago Sky53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Las Vegas Aces46c48.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Chicago Sky56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Chicago Sky57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.