WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb3e143ddd55e10172ca6399d904961d74d446d4154641a2eb451ae7103c5cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Las Vegas Aces, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 12,782$7,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.96 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 12,418$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.57 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 5,737$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.22 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 4,846$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 4,233$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.18 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 3,199$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.55 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 3,098$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.05 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 2,432$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.15 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 2,430$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.53 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,252$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.72 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 1,123$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,053$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.93 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 1,003$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.18 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 1,001$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.47 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 995.91$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +78%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 926.2$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Chicago Sky | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 576.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 453.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 453.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 344.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 313.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 296.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 275.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 244.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 203.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Chicago Sky | 41c | 199.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 166.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 165.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 155.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 150.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 138.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 125.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 106.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 103.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 89.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 81.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 79.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 73.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 69.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 53.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 53.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 49.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 45.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 43.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 43.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…ca75backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 30.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 24.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)this page
- Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.