Tennis · resolved market
Yokkaichi: Soon-Woo Kwon vs August Holmgren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x550b9217fca798ad2a89b3c73c87a36686ee2e75eb7af4b5bb4f305c335df34c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Soon-Woo Kwonof Soon-Woo Kwon, August Holmgren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 78c | 1,998$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.47 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked August Holmgren | 25c | 1,249$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.95 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked August Holmgren | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked August Holmgren | 25c | 899.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed August Holmgren | 28c | 810.09$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 676.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked August Holmgren | 19c | 657.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 70c | 639.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked August Holmgren | 12c | 622$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked August Holmgren | 26c | 616.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.26 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 472.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 76c | 465.8$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed August Holmgren | 17c | 463.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 456.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 80c | 442.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed August Holmgren | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed August Holmgren | 26c | 379.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed August Holmgren | 23c | 331.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked August Holmgren | 25c | 314.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 64c | 289.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 266.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren | 19c | 262.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 64c | 247.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed August Holmgren | 32c | 217$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed August Holmgren | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -9.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked August Holmgren | 26c | 166.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked August Holmgren | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked August Holmgren | 26c | 147.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed August Holmgren | 25c | 142.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed August Holmgren | 24c | 113.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 108.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed August Holmgren | 23c | 75.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed August Holmgren | 24c | 65.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 62.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed August Holmgren | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 79c | 49.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 48.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 78c | 47.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 80c | 31.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 30.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 26.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 77c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Soon-Woo Kwon | 79c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.