NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0addbc75ab5ec00fb87a2fa5019f451f74cb4fa1c143e81b9e8ee69562380a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 43c | 2,953$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.49 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 57c | 2,139$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over | 59c | 1,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 1,088$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 1,018$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 47c | 773.11$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.11 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 659$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 67c | 614.37$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.25 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 64c | 433.52$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 56c | 378$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 363.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 37c | 314.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 65c | 295.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 77c | 260.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 67c | 211.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 54c | 169.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 30c | 131.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Over | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 93.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 43c | 90.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 33c | 76.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Over | 58c | 43.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 44c | 37.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 42c | 35.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 65c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 32.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Over | 60c | 27.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Under | 44c | 24.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…996abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. RangersRangers won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.