NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03993b612a2363811a70b4011b6807616a4906a1ed0822fb44a5627b501256dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Devils, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers | 68c | 2,081$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.95 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Devils | 32c | 1,918$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.89 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 32c | 784.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Rangers | 70c | 778.38$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Devils | 31c | 663.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.41 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rangers | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Devils | 32c | 433.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rangers | 68c | 382.02$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Rangers | 68c | 312.78$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Devils | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Devils | 32c | 281.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Devils | 31c | 217.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Devils | 32c | 198.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers | 68c | 183.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Rangers | 71c | 181.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Devils | 32c | 129.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 70c | 112.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rangers | 66c | 108.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Devils | 29c | 99.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Devils | 32c | 81.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Rangers | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 70c | 71.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rangers | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Devils | 26c | 61.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Devils | 30c | 54.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Rangers | 72c | 47.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 78c | 47.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 71c | 38.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Rangers | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Rangers | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Rangers | 70c | 28.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Rangers | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Rangers | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Rangers | 70c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Rangers | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Rangers | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Rangers | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. RangersRangers won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.