NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeded057d43dcbc43149a6e32480ed5e33359aab56b296a4f77f8e8801ba3e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 958.25$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.8 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 907.55$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 50c | 558.13$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.07 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 59c | 253.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 223.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 40c | 218.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 212.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 181.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 181.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 132$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 125.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…2fc5backed Over | 46c | 119.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…f66bbacked Under | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 54c | 99.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 65c | 76.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…48c1backed Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 45.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 51c | 30.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42de…b5d4backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…c115backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. RangersRangers won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.