NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31e32f28f97d6a77afd84419fd635b2e0875a63726f3cc3ecba2ecd89a2dbb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 63c | 48,037$30,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,854 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 38c | 7,433$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.71 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 45c | 7,193$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.25 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 55c | 4,491$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 1,414$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.83 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 1,315$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.75 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 56c | 1,150$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.34 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 910.3$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 681$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 648.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 37c | 506.26$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 482$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 78c | 459.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 64c | 344.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 265.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 227.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 190.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 16c | 189.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Under | 53c | 187.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 38c | 185$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 38c | 185$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 36c | 152.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 101.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 88.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 38c | 77.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 50c | 77.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 64c | 70.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…424bbacked Under | 44c | 68.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 32c | 67.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 38c | 65.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 33c | 63.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 38c | 34.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Under | 41c | 33.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 70c | 32.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…7745backed Under | 41c | 30.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 63c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 62c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…936cbacked Under | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 63c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…d933backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.