NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d45e6f99e0d1fcbed8dc98b723cb22e0a182020580627e719407d9fba9de064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 34,929$20,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,670.04 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canucks | 42c | 29,679$12,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,465.05 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Golden Knights | 57c | 9,360$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Canucks | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Golden Knights | 59c | 6,276$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.29 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Canucks | 41c | 4,672$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.65 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 58c | 3,901$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.42 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Canucks | 43c | 3,859$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.18 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks | 42c | 3,526$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.75 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.26 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 42c | 1,649$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.89 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canucks | 42c | 1,295$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.07 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 49c | 939.35$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.28 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Canucks | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Canucks | 42c | 856.72$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.82 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canucks | 42c | 778.14$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Golden Knights | 64c | 762.11$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 69c | 599.91$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Golden Knights | 57c | 596.89$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.66 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 42c | 490.06$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Golden Knights | 57c | 467.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Golden Knights | 58c | 424.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Canucks | 43c | 397.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights | 57c | 396.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Canucks | 43c | 367.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Canucks | 43c | 356.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Golden Knights | 62c | 185.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Golden Knights | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 169.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canucks | 78c | 162.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Golden Knights | 34c | 145.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Golden Knights | 57c | 144.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canucks | 73c | 139.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canucks | 43c | 137.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Canucks | 43c | 137.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 73c | 130.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Canucks | 44c | 111.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 40c | 106.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Canucks | 42c | 96.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 84.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Canucks | 65c | 77.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Golden Knights | 58c | 67.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 61.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canucks | 42c | 60.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Golden Knights | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Canucks | 44c | 56.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canucks | 80c | 54.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Canucks | 77c | 49.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…dbe5backed Golden Knights | 58c | 40.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canucks | 75c | 39.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Canucks | 59c | 34.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Golden Knights | 50c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Golden Knights | 58c | 29.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 28.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Canucks | 44c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.