NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf601b13b988d6d876a8e6239a747e76cd392aadfc3f199cbb94be3be7f4c54bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Golden Knights, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 56c | 690.66$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights | 44c | 591.13$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Golden Knights | 20c | 581.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 3c | 563.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Canucks | 76c | 323.3$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canucks | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 57c | 231.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 56c | 205.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Golden Knights | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Golden Knights | 42c | 119.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Canucks | 58c | 118.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 118.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Golden Knights | 44c | 111.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…5b6cbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 61.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Canucks | 60c | 57.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Canucks | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canucks | 60c | 49.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 35c | 45.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Golden Knights | 44c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Canucks | 57c | 41.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 34.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canucks | 55c | 32.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Golden Knights | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Canucks | 58c | 26.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Canucks | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Canucks | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Canucks | 58c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)this page
- Canucks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.