NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15efb956e698f246aebca084fcfca8b565a7e1487b6c4951a5b51a3cee7dffb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Under | 49c | 3,920$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 3,579$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.59 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 1,621$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.58 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.38 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.65 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 829.35$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 499.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…3676backed Under | 52c | 384.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 52c | 381.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 50c | 299.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 242.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…595abacked Under | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 51c | 197.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…ef34backed Over | 49c | 184.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…f515backed Over | 49c | 184.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 71c | 177$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…d47bbacked Over | 49c | 173.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…393dbacked Under | 51c | 173.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 170.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…0a8abacked Under | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 168.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 155.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 50c | 153.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 125.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 48c | 118.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 112.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 101.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 87.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 50c | 73.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 34c | 71.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 68.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…424bbacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Over | 38c | 64.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 41c | 60.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…9426backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 49.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 50c | 45.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 56c | 45.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 57c | 35.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 35.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 46c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 63c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.