NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fcda02b565d099bf957e718f2a5fedface5d98132128ed45f36f091624dbdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 365,679$197,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,221.56 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 231,537$106,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,506.98 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 46c | 70,000$32,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,199.97 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 52,234$24,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,027.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.56 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 3,856$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.18 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 3,600$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.98 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 2,751$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.65 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 2,344$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.24 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 971.18$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.3 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 619.62$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.62 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Under | 46c | 463.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 46c | 463.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 34c | 392.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 46c | 301$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 64c | 300.19$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 52c | 288$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 47c | 197.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 54c | 184.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…810abacked Under | 12c | 179.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 54c | 175.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…cc57backed Under | 48c | 154.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 36c | 135.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 107.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 54c | 92.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…3c68backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 79.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 75.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 58.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 54c | 57.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 53c | 55.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Over | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 52.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 55c | 48.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…7822backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Over | 55c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 46c | 42.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Under | 48c | 42.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 46c | 34.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…bb75backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 58c | 27.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 26.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…2018backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Over | 53c | 25.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 24.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 23.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 54c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0158…75a5backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…385fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…c8d7backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. BlackhawksJets won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.