NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb943b07e21de1f7b7a960c1c3ba3c22462a5e61f913840669bdd20635316aaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 44c | 338,570$148,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,643.28 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 56c | 227,298$127,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,286.88 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 50,827$28,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,443.82 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 56c | 20,000$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 10,500$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,894.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 5,400$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,983$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.49 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 1,855$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.78 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 56c | 1,745$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.2 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 55c | 822.33$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.12 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 821.51$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.86 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 711.12$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 42c | 491.59$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 57c | 454$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 45c | 421.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 52c | 400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 44c | 282.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 197.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 44c | 171$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 56c | 170$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 152.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 137.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 127.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 124$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 123.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Under | 58c | 122.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 45c | 111.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 36c | 103.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 49c | 96.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 62c | 96.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 92.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 91.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 37c | 81.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 42c | 77.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 43c | 72.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 56c | 68.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Over | 44c | 66.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 63.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 74c | 62.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 56c | 61.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 58c | 60.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 45c | 59.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 44c | 57.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 57c | 55.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…7822backed Over | 45c | 51.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Over | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 67c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…cab1backed Under | 44c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 26.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Over | 43c | 23.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 60c | 16.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. BlackhawksJets won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.