NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8327d48b486ff2925906a3a702ba102a5e8246eb15251c5f3854d605f5616b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Jets, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Jets | 45c | 2,482$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.7 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Jets | 37c | 2,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Blackhawks | 63c | 1,862$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.12 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 58c | 1,048$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blackhawks | 47c | 724.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks | 62c | 589.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Jets | 44c | 542.75$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Blackhawks | 64c | 522.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blackhawks | 55c | 377.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jets | 36c | 268.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jets | 37c | 241.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 63c | 237.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 235.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 175.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Jets | 38c | 144.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 64c | 122$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Blackhawks | 55c | 114.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 111.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 49c | 110.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks | 63c | 90.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 77.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Jets | 47c | 76.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Blackhawks | 64c | 76.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks | 55c | 68.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Blackhawks | 64c | 66.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Jets | 38c | 64.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jets | 34c | 63.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jets | 35c | 60.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blackhawks | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…3ea7backed Jets | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Jets | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Blackhawks | 66c | 41.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Jets | 47c | 39.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Blackhawks | 50c | 39.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Jets | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Jets | 47c | 35.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Blackhawks | 53c | 34.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Blackhawks | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 31.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Blackhawks | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Blackhawks | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Jets | 46c | 25.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Blackhawks | 64c | 22.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blackhawks | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. BlackhawksJets won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.