TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hamad Medjedovicof Hamad Medjedovic, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hamad Medjedovic58c5,667$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.4576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alexandre Muller9c4,741$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.692,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Alexandre Muller31c4,717$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.1813959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Alexandre Muller10c4,199$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexandre Muller25c2,141$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Alexandre Muller42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Hamad Medjedovic58c1,977$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.291,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Hamad Medjedovic54c1,727$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.4430744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Alexandre Muller26c1,582$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4514225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hamad Medjedovic71c1,524$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.165558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Alexandre Muller3c1,457$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4112033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alexandre Muller38c1,314$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.821,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Alexandre Muller43c1,154$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Alexandre Muller2c1,126$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Alexandre Muller45c1,122$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.691,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Alexandre Muller47c1,073$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alexandre Muller43c1,047$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.411,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Alexandre Muller27c1,006$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hamad Medjedovic57c993.09$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.491,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Alexandre Muller14c838.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4223429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Alexandre Muller42c833.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Hamad Medjedovic73c792$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.842152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Alexandre Muller18c708.67$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.428322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Alexandre Muller45c678.67$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alexandre Muller35c617.56$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.144,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Alexandre Muller50c609.98$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9924438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Hamad Medjedovic70c587.77$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.125550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alexandre Muller3c539$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.952,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hamad Medjedovic53c451.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5792…6481backed Alexandre Muller20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013222%29 W · 103 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Hamad Medjedovic54c369.7$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.255660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Alexandre Muller14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Hamad Medjedovic56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Alexandre Muller18c356.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Hamad Medjedovic57c350.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6922465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandre Muller24c336.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alexandre Muller51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15370652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Hamad Medjedovic55c299.66$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.359745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alexandre Muller29c277.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alexandre Muller24c274$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Alexandre Muller13c269.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.037146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hamad Medjedovic68c261.44$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.546,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alexandre Muller24c259$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7950644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Hamad Medjedovic71c253.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8913748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Hamad Medjedovic54c241.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.710242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandre Muller27c241.34$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alexandre Muller42c229.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Alexandre Muller48c222.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0835436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alexandre Muller48c222.22$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.672,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Hamad Medjedovic50c201.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8232851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Alexandre Muller8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Alexandre Muller43c198.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3140744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hamad Medjedovic72c194.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.171,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac14…415abacked Alexandre Muller9c186.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.642814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Hamad Medjedovic53c173$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3196755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Alexandre Muller43c162$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6643242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Hamad Medjedovic74c156.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9b…23cabacked Alexandre Muller8c138$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alexandre Muller42c137.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8742…5e43backed Alexandre Muller12c136.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.542528%7 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Alexandre Muller43c136.05$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.454443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Hamad Medjedovic49c130.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.352,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hamad Medjedovic57c128$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0434242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Alexandre Muller26c123.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.851,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388b…629fbacked Alexandre Muller42c118.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Hamad Medjedovic80c118.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2514355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alexandre Muller37c117.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.593,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Alexandre Muller46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Hamad Medjedovic56c106$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6499056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Hamad Medjedovic55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Hamad Medjedovic55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Hamad Medjedovic71c99.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2934149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hamad Medjedovic60c98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.314,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Hamad Medjedovic72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2271165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…aa1ebacked Alexandre Muller18c96.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e0…b68abacked Hamad Medjedovic59c94.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.577758.4%45 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Alexandre Muller30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hamad Medjedovic55c87.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.057,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Alexandre Muller35c87.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.647,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Alexandre Muller40c87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Hamad Medjedovic71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5159965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Hamad Medjedovic50c77.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Hamad Medjedovic59c75.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+79.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Hamad Medjedovic48c75.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.165849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Hamad Medjedovic77c75.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.556,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Hamad Medjedovic74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3282560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Alexandre Muller14c72.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Alexandre Muller43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Hamad Medjedovic53c68.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6415248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alexandre Muller24c66.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b84…ab50backed Alexandre Muller43c65.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Hamad Medjedovic56c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.623248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Alexandre Muller17c64.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Hamad Medjedovic54c63.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3217447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Alexandre Muller16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Hamad Medjedovic50c60.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Hamad Medjedovic70c54.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2923249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…51c2backed Hamad Medjedovic58c53.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…8a12backed Alexandre Muller43c52.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd79…1021backed Alexandre Muller43c51.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.