CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8414f2dd8f12b85d0e810cf0640b2e83c5e337dbf5bad6e8cd72facae55d41a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Keyd, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN Academy | 52c | 1,705$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.92 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN Academy | 45c | 1,527$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.97 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed paiN Academy | 56c | 1,326$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.9 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 50c | 1,280$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Keyd | 67c | 1,212$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.23 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 71c | 1,141$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.02 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 70c | 1,060$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.71 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Keyd | 30c | 991.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 795.32$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 34c | 776.31$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 13c | 733.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 34c | 589.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Keyd | 67c | 496$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.32 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 57c | 472.71$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed paiN Academy | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed paiN Academy | 33c | 332$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked paiN Academy | 29c | 330.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 55c | 274.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Keyd | 40c | 245.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed paiN Academy | 29c | 230.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Keyd | 46c | 224.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed paiN Academy | 37c | 162.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Keyd | 55c | 161.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked paiN Academy | 56c | 159.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed paiN Academy | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 38c | 149$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed paiN Academy | 33c | 147.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Academy | 58c | 135.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked paiN Academy | 33c | 114.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 54c | 110.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Keyd | 35c | 107.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed paiN Academy | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Keyd | 70c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Keyd | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Keyd | 34c | 62.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked paiN Academy | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…f813backed Keyd | 65c | 49.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed paiN Academy | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked paiN Academy | 30c | 39.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Keyd | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Keyd | 67c | 37.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 53c | 33.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keyd | 66c | 29.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Keyd | 53c | 26.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Keyd | 64c | 25.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Keyd | 44c | 24.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Keyd | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Keyd | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Keyd | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 55c | 18.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.