MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be6e887a9d546e01b0b65be482a6217f6d09dfd8bc8fe4e95a6376c6d4e869b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed NC Dinos | 42c | 1,588$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.56 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e7…31f3backed Samsung Lions | 19c | 1,515$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 570.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed NC Dinos | 40c | 515$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 508.34$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 500.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 55c | 493.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…e1d4backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 469.85$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 65c | 454.73$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed NC Dinos | 38c | 386.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 382.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed NC Dinos | 41c | 369.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 362$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e02…3b96backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 337.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 28c | 336.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 321.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 271.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…48b5backed NC Dinos | 40c | 243.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 166.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed Samsung Lions | 43c | 155.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 40c | 140.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Samsung Lions | 27c | 137.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed NC Dinos | 40c | 124.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Samsung Lions | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Samsung Lions | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 67c | 109.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 107.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed NC Dinos | 47c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…1bf5backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 104.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 77.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Samsung Lions | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed NC Dinos | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…6d16backed NC Dinos | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed NC Dinos | 45c | 56.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 49.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 37c | 49.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 48.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 40c | 44.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 41.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed NC Dinos | 40c | 32.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 31.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NC Dinos | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed NC Dinos | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…8edbbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…8545backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 45c | 25.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked NC Dinos | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…1175backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…e7e2backed NC Dinos | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a07…e438backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…955ebacked NC Dinos | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 22.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.