Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4e658bb4948b8ba78ac7edc0131fde3ebb5f7371235681e67a4df39fdabbdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 79c | 4,130$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.04 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,499$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.6 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked No | 50c | 1,994$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 54c | 1,847$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.9 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 43c | 1,749$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.07 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,270$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.79 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,095$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.54 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,082$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.89 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 967$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.22 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 69c | 640.89$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.42 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed No | 6c | 614.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed No | 7c | 609.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 580.71$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 517.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 33c | 512.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed No | 5c | 475.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…98bebacked No | 50c | 435.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 50c | 399.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 56c | 371.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 34c | 344.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 21c | 338.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 328.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed No | 7c | 299.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 281.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 38c | 258.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 242.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yes | 63c | 237.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 79c | 209.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 202.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ad…795fbacked No | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 64c | 156.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…a047backed Yes | 35c | 144.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 143.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 71c | 140.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Yes | 63c | 134.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 117.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 99.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 71c | 98.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 27c | 90.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 82.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 81.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 21c | 69.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 50c | 68.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 23c | 68.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 23c | 68.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Yes | 58c | 67.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 56c | 65.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…47cdbacked Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 64c | 52.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 37c | 50.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 50c | 49.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 63c | 47.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 32c | 43.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 26c | 40.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 39.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…2353backed Yes | 53c | 37.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 36.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Yes | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 50c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 57c | 28.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 66c | 24.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 16.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.