Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46771edc013125b1f059a2ad6bf8d1146cb062f61ad9374ac26f89c667621f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,298$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,165$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.69 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 18c | 805.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 445$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 246.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 229.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 6c | 226.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 15c | 218.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 17c | 176.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 149.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 11c | 142.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 16c | 126.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 124.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…9cefbacked No | 61c | 114.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 17c | 113.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 110.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 20c | 98.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 43c | 90.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 11c | 90.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 58c | 86.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 82.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 53c | 76.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…79eabacked Yes | 52c | 70.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 47c | 60.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 60.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…a377backed Yes | 52c | 47.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…09d2backed Yes | 50c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 41.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 28c | 39.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 40c | 35.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 69c | 30.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…e492backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 79c | 18.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 62c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.